S0 · No financial incentive
No farmer is eligible.
S1 · Fixed reward
Verified adoption in period t.
| Parameter | Default | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| F (fixed reward) | 100 | MU per period |
| q_min (minimum verified performance) | 0 | index 0–1 |
S2 · Performance-based reward
Verified adoption in period t and verified improvement q̂(i,t) − q0(i) > 0.
| Parameter | Default | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| k (rate) | 333.33 | MU per performance-index unit |
| cap | 200 | MU per period |
S3 · Tiered reward
Verified adoption in period t and q̂(i,t) ≥ 0.45 (lowest tier).
| Parameter | Default | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1: θ1 → R1 | q̂ ≥ 0.45 → 50 | MU per period |
| Tier 2: θ2 → R2 | q̂ ≥ 0.55 → 100 | MU per period |
| Tier 3: θ3 → R3 | q̂ ≥ 0.65 → 150 | MU per period |
S3R · Tiered reward, baseline-relative (v2 variant)
Verified participation in season t and verified gain q̂(i,t) − q0(i) ≥ 0.1 (lowest tier).
| Parameter | Default | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1: θ'1 → R'1 | gain ≥ 0.1 → 50 | MU per season |
| Tier 2: θ'2 → R'2 | gain ≥ 0.2 → 100 | MU per season |
| Tier 3: θ'3 → R'3 | gain ≥ 0.3 → 150 | MU per season |
Entitlement as a function of verified performance
View data table
Shared rules
- D(i,t) ∈ {0,1}: adoption decision of farmer i in period t (verification of adoption assumed exact).
- q̂(i,t) = clamp(q(i,t) + ε), ε ~ N(0, σv²): verified performance.
- q̃(i,t) = q(i,t−1) + γ(qmaxi − q(i,t−1)): farmer's projected performance if adopting.
- π(t−1): realised payout ratio of the previous period (π(0) = 1).
Σ Paid ≤ Cap(t) ≤ Remaining(t) in every period, so total expenditure never exceeds the programme budget. Unspent funds carry forward.
Every reward amount (F; k and cap; tier rewards) is multiplied by a common λ; eligibility rules and thresholds are unchanged. Model v2 compares mechanisms along a λ grid and at equal actual expenditure, not at equal nominal reward levels.
The default levels give each mechanism a mean steady-state entitlement of about M = 100 MU. As the parity profile below shows, a first-time participant expects much less under S2, S3 and S3R than under S1. Defaults were not tuned toward any ranking, but equal nominal levels do not imply equal incentives or equal spending.
First-season versus steady-state reward parity
Entitlement by consecutive seasons of participation
View data table
Parity diagnostics
| Mechanism | Season 1 | Forward-looking (H) | Season 12 | λ for first-season parity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 Fixed
0 % expect 0 in season 1 |
100 MU | 100 MU | 100 MU | 1.00 |
| S2 Performance-based
0 % expect 0 in season 1 |
35 MU | 54 MU | 99 MU | 2.86 |
| S3 Tiered
48 % expect 0 in season 1 |
37 MU | 60 MU | 109 MU | 2.71 |
| S3R Tiered, relative
44 % expect 0 in season 1 |
28 MU | 56 MU | 116 MU | 3.59 |